UCLA Basketball: NFL
Football 20 Jan 08
by Tony Medley
1. UCLA Basketball: I guess
I’m the only one in Los Angeles who is not surprised that SC beat UCLA.
UCLA fans look at their team through rose-colored glasses. All they
could see was 14-1, what’s to criticize? The fans and press couldn’t see
the deficiencies I pointed out last week, not realizing that UCLA not
only runs an inept offense, it can’t realize that they have a player who
should be the most dominant player in the country in Kevin Love. They
still can’t get the ball to him. Instead of averaging 16 points a game,
he should be averaging 30. He should have his hands on the ball every
possession. He should be the no. 1 option every time UCLA comes down on
offense. But Collison and Westbrook still have to dribble away most of
the offense. Even Josh Shipp, the second best player on the team and the
second best shooter (behind Love, who can hit from anywhere), doesn’t
get many touches. The UCLA offense is so out of kilter that it’s a
burden to watch it. UCLA better remember history. In 1966 UCLA
annihilated Oregon State at Pauley. I remember that we were rooting for
UCLA to keep OSU under 30 points for the entire game (they finally
scored 35 to UCLA’s 79). But when they went up to Corvallis later in the
season, with the conference title on the line, they lost 64-51, and
missed getting into the NCAA playoffs. UCLA beat Washington State easily
at Pauley this year, but it won’t be the same at Pullman later in the
year. If UCLA doesn’t improve its offense and get the ball to Love more,
it wouldn’t be a major upset if WSU beats UCLA up there.
2. AFC Championship Game:
San Diego started out pressuring Brady, to good effect. The first three
times NE had the ball they did nothing. Then SD stopped pressuring
Brady, even though NE was playing most of the time without a running
back, so they had to pass. In one of the more glaring stupidities of the
game, with the score7-6 and NE inside the SD 10, SD rushed only three
men. Brady, with all the time in the world, calmly threw a TD pass.
How ill-prepared are these
people? With 3rd and 1 on the NE 3 at the beginning of the 3rd
quarter and the score 14-9, SD had to call a time out to come to the
conclusion they should run an off tackle play, which turned out
disastrously anyway because Junior Seau wasn’t blocked and since the
runner had to run wide since there was no hole off tackle, he was dumped
for a two yard loss, forcing them to kick a field goal. With their
league-leading running back on the bench and their quarterback hobbled,
they had to score a touchdown on this possession or their chances were
slim and none. So they really had to run the ball straight ahead twice
because their offensive line was handling NE pretty well. But
compounding stupidity of the play call was the time out. You need a time
out to try to decide what to run in this situation? What do you practice
for? What do you play the season for? If you don’t know what you’re
going to run in this situation in the playoffs, you don’t belong in the
big leagues.
Then, on the biggest play
of the game, with NE in possession at 3rd & 11 on the NE 22
with 7 minutes left and SD trailing by 9, they didn’t blitz and Brady
completed an easy swing pass for the first down. Then SD called another
time out. They needed two scores, only had a little over 5 minutes
remaining, and they called timeout on first down for no reason. And,
despite the timeout and ability to think by SD’s “brain trust” you
should pardon the expression, SD still didn’t blitz Brady! In the Super
Bowl, NE won’t face a team as dumb as SD.
3. NFC Championship: As
with the UCLA basketball game, I guess I was the only one who thought
the Giants had a good chance against the Packers. In fact, I think the
Giants have had the best team in the NFL the last month of the season.
NYG had the same situation as SD with 9 minutes left in the third
quarter with a 3rd and 1 on the three. Unlike the Chargers,
however, they were smart enough to go straight ahead and made it.
The Giants were clearly the
better team. Their defense is tough and their offense moved pretty
easily. It went into overtime because the Giants made two horrible
errors, one on pass coverage that resulted in a 90-yard TD, and one
fumbling the ball back after they had intercepted to stop a Packer
drive. Green Bay was pretty ineffective all day long, mainly because of
the superb NY defense. These errors were exacerbated by a terrible call
by the officials of unnecessary roughness on NYG after they had held GB
on third and long, which would have forced them into a long field goal
try. The penalty, far away from the play and after the play, gave GB a
first down and they immediately scored a touchdown.
NY’s only weakness is a
slow secondary. That’s a real weakness and why they have to blitz,
because I’m not sure they have anyone who can cover Moss and the rest of
NE’s receivers. That’s why it’s important that they keep the pressure on
Brady, as they did on Favre today.
Eli Manning has improved
immeasurably. The Giants have perfected the underthrown timing pass,
where the pass is thrown underneath the defender, better than anyone in
the league. It’s a play that is virtually undefensible when it’s thrown
right and Manning is the best in the league at it. If anyone can beat
NE, it’s the Giants, so I’m pleased with this matchup. The people who
set the NFL lines are rarely wrong. They were wrong in 1997 when they
made Green Bay prohibitive favorites over Denver and I won a big pool
that year by picking Denver. As I write, the line is NE by 12.5. That
looks very inviting to me because I think everyone is underrating the
Giants.
|