NFL 2010 Playoffs, Second
Round
by Tony Medley
In May of 1911, Cy Young,
who won the all time record 511 games in his career, pitched one of his
last games for the Boston Rustlers against Philadelphia. On the mound
for the Phillies was a rookie, Grover Cleveland Alexander. Since
Alexander, who won in 12 innings, 1-0 (Young never won another game),
went on to win 373 games in his career, to place him behind only Young
and Walter Johnson in total career victories, this was one of the more
magical matchups in sport history.
In the Green Bay-Arizona
game Sunday, surefire first round Hall of Famer 38-year-old Kurt Warner
went against young Aaron Rodgers and it was a classic, reminiscent of
the Alexander-Young game 98 years ago. Anybody who thinks the Packers
made a mistake in letting Brett Favre go to allow Rodgers to play is as
ignorant as the two coaches (Rams and Giants) who benched Warner, one of
the five best quarterbacks of all time, in favor of inferior players.
Unlike the Alexander-Young matchup, the greybeard won this one in a game
that won’t by forgotten by anyone who saw it.
After picking all four
winners last week, here’s the lowdown on this weekend’s games:
Dallas at Minnesota:
Despite what all the
talking heads are saying, Minnesota should beat Dallas. Minnesota has a
better quarterback than Dallas, a better running game, a better defense,
and a better coach. In fact, of all the top teams, Dallas has the
weakest pass defense, not a good position when going against Favre, who
has Adrian Peterson, one of the best runners in the league (although,
admittedly, he hasn’t been playing to his reputation lately), to balance
his attack.
Baltimore at
Indianapolis:
Similarly, Baltimore can’t
measure up to Indianapolis. I don’t think there’s any defense that can
stop Peyton Manning and Baltimore’s offense isn’t potent enough to
outscore him, despite running back Ray Rice. Close games generally come
down to the quarterback and there is a huge disparity in talent and
experience here. Baltimore’s young Joe Flacco, whose main claim to fame
is that he doesn’t make many mistakes, is up against one of the all time
best, a 4-time MVP, in Manning, who has had the best year of his career.
The Colts could lose to Baltimore, although I doubt it. If they defense
the run, flood the box, and force Flacco to pass, it’s unlikely that
they would lose. However, I question Indianapolis’s soul. They went to
the dark side when they benched all their starters in the fourth quarter
and only a 5-point lead over the Jets a few weeks ago, forsaking a
perfect season and thumbing their collective noses at the fans who paid
good money to see what they thought would be a game both teams wanted to
win. There is a metaphysical aspect to sport, and Indianapolis
challenged it. You don’t fool around with Mother Nature.
New York at San Diego:
That leaves two games that
are better matchups. I still think the Jets have as good a team as there
is in football, the best head coach in Rex Ryan, and probably the best
offensive coordinator in Brian Schottenheimer. Ryan & Schottenheimer
recognized the inexperience and deficiencies of rookie quarterback Mark
Sanchez, and have handled him perfectly, only allowing him to throw when
necessary or unexpected. Against Cincinnati, with one of the best
defenses in the league, he was 12 for 15, so he showed he can play under
pressure. His passes were picture perfect. He will be up against a
weaker defense at San Diego than Cincinnati’s. San Diego is a team that
relies on offense with a terrific quarterback in David Rivers and a Hall
of Fame running back in LaDanian Tomlinson, whose backup, Darren Sproles,
is only 5-6 but has a higher average per carry than LT. However, the
Jets not only have the best rushing offense in the league, they also
have the best defense, and don’t use the nickel defense, choosing
instead to put pressure on the passer, which is the only way to defense
the pass. If the game comes down to Rivers and a two-minute drill, the
Jets will blitz him and deprive him of the time to find an open
receiver, rather than sit back with a three man rush and 8 defensive
backs, a tactic that rarely works. Given enough time, any quality
quarterback can find an open receiver. Football games are won on the
line of scrimmage and the Jets have probably the best offensive and
defensive lines in the league. I picked the Jets after opening day and I
haven’t changed my mind.
Arizona at New Orleans:
The second is another game
in which I am emotionally involved because of Arizona. Arizona’s defense
went fishing in the second half against Green Bay, and New Orleans has a
more rounded offense than Green Bay, with two gifted runners to go with
quarterback Drew Brees, one of the best in the league. Also, New Orleans
has figured out a way to use former USC Heisman Trophy winner Reggie
Bush by throwing swing passes to him to allow him to run in an open
field very effectively, rather than playing him strictly as a running
back. However, Arizona decimated Green Bay’s defense, the second best
defense in the league. New Orlean’s defense is porous, to say the least,
certainly not in the league with Green Bay’s. Also, New Orleans’ last
five games have been dismal, barely beating Washington and Atlanta by 3
points each, and losing the last three in a row. But even if New Orleans
was at the top of its game, I would still pick Arizona, mainly because
of the Cardinals’ brilliant coach, Ken Whisenhunt, and Warner, his
outstanding cadre of receivers, even without Anquan Boldin, the
complicated, hard-to-defense sets they run, and a much better running
game than last year. The downside is that Warner sometimes holds the
ball too long and can make costly turnovers. The upside is that he’s
murder to blitz because he reads defenses so quickly and can spot open
receivers faster and better than any quarterback in football.
January 12, 2010
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