2104
NFL Playoffs Second Round
by Tony
Medley
Three
good games decided on the last play, so it didn’t really matter who
picked winners. That’s luck or fate. Either team could win. I picked two
winners and two losers.
Analysis:
Philadelphia lost because of its coach. The game plan for the first half
was ridiculous, not allowing Foles to throw long, limiting them to one
touchdown. In the second half when he was allowed to throw long they
scored. Also at the end of the game when it was clear with about a
minute and a half that New Orleans was in position to kick a field goal,
he should have given them a touchdown. Philadelphia was moving in the
second half against Rob Ryan’s 3-4 defense because if you give a passer
like Foles enough time he can complete pass after pass. And Ryan was
only rushing three men. Their only chance at that point was to surrender
to a 6 point deficit and hope that Foles could drive the team down for
the winning touchdown. Letting New Orleans run out the clock and kick a
field goal was stupid.
San
Francisco’s offense was the worst coached offense in the playoffs. They
appeared clueless, having to call two timeouts at the beginning of the
second half because nobody knew what was going on. As to that point,
it’s not worth wasting a time out to save five yards at the beginning of
the second half, but they went ahead and called the timeouts wasting
them for a possible two minute offense at the end of the game. I finally
saw why they didn’t roll over teams they should beat easily. They need a
new offensive coordinator. Look what happened to San Diego when they
grabbed Ken Whisenhunt after he was fired by Arizona (a stupid decision)
and made him their offensive coordinator. The last four games of the
season the Chargers lines started taking control. They started moving
the ball and made the playoffs (although they barely beat Kansas City's
benchwarmers in the last pivotal game of the season) and then rolled
over Cincinnati in the first round. But Green Bay threw away the first
quarter with puzzling play calling that resulted in three 3 & outs. If
they had let Rodgers throw the ball at the beginning, Green Bay probably
would have won the game. As it was they outplayed SF, despite losing
almost their entire defense to injuries but still only losing on the
last play of the game. While the referees did let them play, for which I
was grateful, the refs missed an obvious holding call on Green Bay that
allowed Rodgers to avoid a sack and get a first down with less than 8
minutes left. That was a crucial non call that almost cost the 49ers the
game. And the holding call was obvious. The Green Bay lineman grabbed a
49er who was bringing Rodgers down around the neck and pulled him off.
As to
Cincinnati, I was more right than wrong, even though I didn’t pick the
winner. I said Cincinnati’s main weakness was its quarterback. I could
see that San Diego was going to win easily at the outset when they were
controlling both lines of scrimmage. Cincinnati was never in the game,
completely outplayed and outmanned, their defense shown to be paper
tigers. And quarterback Andy Dalton played one of the worst games at
quarterback in the history of the playoffs.
I was
right about Indianapolis even though I said it was a guess. Go with a
quarterback like Luck if you aren’t sure.
Now for
this week’s games. To start out with, this time I’m going with teams I
want to win if I think the games are close, but I will indicate which
teams I like emotionally, whether I pick them or not. It was hell last
week pulling for teams I didn’t like (Cincinnati) just because I picked
them. Even though I say this, two of my picks are upsets, and I’m
picking them not because I like them but because I do think they can
win.
New
Orleans at Seattle:
Seattle’s injury situation is better than it has been all year. I don’t
think that Pete Carroll will run as dumb an offense in the first half
that Philly’s Kelly ran, although last year they kept getting behind in
the first half and had to bail games out at the end, so who knows? I
thought Seattle was the best team last year and I think so this year,
too. I like both these teams, and New Orleans defense is better than
most people realize. Seattle.
Indianapolis at New England:
Indy falls behind and then makes fantastic comebacks. New England guts
it out with less than stellar talent. Both quarterbacks are without
their favorite receiver. I haven’t seen either team play this year until
the playoffs, for any extended time, anyway. It’s tough to go against
Tom Brady, but Indy has a better defense, and a younger quarterback who
can run, something Brady can’t do. I like Indianapolis and I'm not a fan
of New England. Indianapolis.
San
Francisco at Carolina:
San Francisco, which looks like the best team on paper, did it again
last week, barely eking out a victory over a Green Bay team that was
down to playing refugees from the Little Sisters of the Poor on its
decimated defense. How can San Francisco make these games so close? But
on the other side, I’m not thrilled with Cam Newton. I saw him throw a
truly idiotic pass near the end of the first half about a month ago,
resulting in a turnover that cost them a score. I’m not thrilled,
either, with the 49ers despotic, humorless coach. What’s he doing to
stifle this offense? The 49ers are healthier than they’ve been all year
and their best receiver, Michael Crabtree, is back healthy (which is why
they beat Green Bay). I think that Colin Kaepernick is both a better
passer and a better runner than Cam Newton. I don’t have any emotional
attachment to either of these teams, but San Francisco is the better
team and that’s my pick.
San
Diego at Denver:
San Diego totally dominated the line of scrimmage last week against
Cincinnati. Denver’s defense isn’t that good. But Peyton Manning gets
rid of the ball faster than any quarterback, so San Diego's secondary
will be key. As I said, San Diego has the best offensive coordinator in
football in Whisenhunt. However, he’s out gallivanting around
interviewing for every NFL head coaching job extant instead of tending
to business. I have no idea how that will affect San Diego, but it can’t
help. Denver has two big advantages, Peyton Manning and acclimation with
Denver’s mile-high altitude. The latter is really hard to overcome and
is a huge advantage for all Denver teams. I like San Diego and I don’t
like Denver, my least favorite team in the playoffs. I’m going with San
Diego.
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