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2013 NFL
Playoffs Third Round
by Tony Medley
If football
games were 59 minutes 30 seconds long, I would have been 4-0 last
weekend. Two of my picks had the lead with 30 seconds to go and the ball
on the opponents' 30 yard line, 70 yards from paydirt. Alas, my pick of Denver was victimized by a 70 yard touchdown
pass with 30 seconds left, caused by the dumbest defensive play in the
history of the NFL. My pick of Seattle fell victim to two 25 yard
passes with less than 30 seconds to go, and a dumb timeout call by former USC coach Pete Carroll,
allowing Atlanta to salvage an undeserved two-point victory on the
second to last play of the game.
Truth be told, I
was silently pulling for Baltimore to beat Denver because I do not like
Denver. Why? Because of the classless way they and their President, John
Elway, treated Tim Tebow. Last year Tebow took over a team that was 1-4
and took them to the second round of the playoffs. Despite this, Elway
couldn't wait to get rid of him, and his former teammates on the Broncos
trashed him anonymously, one saying, "he hurt us all year long." Yeah,
sure. If you don't like someone and want to talk about it at least have
the courage to put your name behind it. But was Denver better off with
Peyton Manning this year than with Tim Tebow last year? After a bye,
Manning lost in the first playoff game they played; Tebow won a wild
card playoff game against Pittsburgh, taking them to the second round of
the playoffs, and Tebow's team didn't have near the talent this team
possesses. Manning was pitiful in the second half when the game was on
the line. You be the judge.
Denver lost this
game because of the stupid defensive play, but also because Manning
threw two interceptions and had one lost fumble. The second interception
was so ill-advised that it rises to the level of being called
"Favre-like." So I'm happy that Baltimore won this game, even though I
picked Denver.
I was right
about San Francisco beating Green Bay and New England blowing out
Houston. Why anybody thought such a seriously flawed team like Green Bay
had a ghost of a chance to beat San Francisco is beyond me, but I'm not
going into that because I put my reasons for the picks in last week's
column.
Seattle overcame
a woeful start and totally outplayed Atlanta in the second half, scoring
what looked like the winning touchdown with 31 seconds left. But Matt
Ryan threw two pressure packed strikes to get within field goal range.
Then former SC coach Pete Carroll made the mistake of using his brain
and called one of those idiotic last second timeouts to "freeze" the
kicker. The kicker missed that kick and Seattle would have won. But he
made the second kick and Carroll deserved to lose for calling the
ridiculous "freezing" time out that's so popular with these NFL coaches
who seem cloistered from common sense.
Here's how I see
Sunday's conference finals:
San Francisco
at Atlanta: Atlanta played
a good first half (or was it just that Seattle hadn't awakened yet?),
and then completely folded in the second half against Seattle (or was it
that it took Seattle that long to adjust and play its normal game?).
Seattle's team is a carbon copy of San Francisco, but without the high
quality running game of the 49ers, since Seattle's best runner was
operating on an injured ankle. 49er quarterback , Colin Kaepernick, is
as good a runner as Seattle's Russell Wilson, if not better, and is
faster. Matt Ryan is going to need to scramble against San Francisco's
defense, and that's not his forte. I think San Francisco has more talent
and is better coached. Even though they are on the road, they should
beat Atlanta.
Baltimore at
New England: I have
thought that New England would be in the Super Bowl for quite a while.
However Baltimore's quarterback, Joe Flacco, has thrown some
exceptionally accurate long passes when the pressure was on (he missed
some wide open receivers when the pressure wasn't on). With the pressure
on he threw spectacular long passes to Anquon Boldin and Jacoby Jones.
They were perfect strikes. Although Baltimore's defense is so old it
needs constant application of WD-40 to keep out the squeaks, it put
constant pressure on Denver's Peyton Manning and completely shut down
Denver's offense. In fact 40% of Denver's touchdowns were on kick
returns. One could say that without special teams, Denver never would've
been in the game. New England has a bend but don't break defense. It
allows a lot of yards, but is very good defending in the red zone. While
Brady does not react well to pressure, Baltimore's ancient defense has
been on the field for more than 160 plays in the last two games. It
won't get much rest against New England's Oregon Ducks-inspired uptempo
offense and could be exhausted if this game come down to the final
minutes. Brady runs a brilliant short passing game, so it will be hard
for Baltimore to pressure him when he gets rid of the ball so fast and
sees all his available receivers in the blink of an eye, something
Flacco doesn't do. Although I could easily be 7-1 again going into these
two conference finals, as I have been the last few years, at 5-3 my gut
urges me to pick Baltimore in a big upset. Since my gut told me to pick
Cincinnati in an upset two weeks ago, though, I'm sticking with my brain
and New England.
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