Sports Medley:
Analyzing UCLA’s “Miracle” Win 4 Sep 17
by Tony Medley
UCLA’s “miracle”
comeback victory over Texas A&M on Sunday (behind 41-10 with a little
more than 2 minutes left in the 3rd quarter, statisticians
state that UCLA’s chance of victory was one third of 1%, or 0.33%) was
due to 3 things:
-
Luck
-
Horrific Coaching
by A&M;
-
Rosen’s passing.
Let’s start out with
number 2. The Aggies’ offensive coordinator, Noel Mazzone was UCLA’s
offensive coordinator for 4 years and it was clear to anyone with a
football IQ above 50 that he didn’t have a clue about what he was doing.
As one glaring example in the 4th quarter of close games when
UCLA was protecting a lead he would have the ball snapped with 10 to 15
seconds on the clock. He never understood that when you have a lead you
have 2 weapons, points and the clock. In Sunday’s game his quarterbacks
constantly snapped the ball with 10 to 15 seconds left on the clock,
even when they were faltering in the 4th quarter. When UCLA
scored its second TD with 17 minutes left to go in the game, A&M had at
least four possessions. Assuming they snapped the ball with 10 seconds
left on the play clock (it was probably closer to 15 seconds on
average), they could have burned an additional 160 seconds off the clock
(16 downs X 10 seconds=160 seconds, or 2:40 of game time. UCLA got the
ball back for its final winning drive with a little over 2 minutes to
go. Had Mazzone trained his quarterbacks to not to call for the ball
until there was only one second left on the clock each time they had
possession, the game would have been over before UCLA got its final
possession.
But worse than that
was his play calling. During the first quarter the Aggies were running
against UCLA’s porous defense at will. I couldn’t understand why the
Aggies were throwing any passes, except to set up the run. But after
starting quarterback Nick Starkel went out of the game in the third
quarter, his replacement, Kellen Mond, is clearly a mediocre to poor
passer. They should have never thrown the ball once after Starkel left.
If Mazzone (whose favorite play call at UCLA was the silly bubble screen
which he ran repeatedly) had limited their offense to runs, the clock
would have run and the Aggies running offense would certainly have
gained more than Mond’s horrific passing (3 for 17 for 24 yards). 17
passes and each incompletion stopped the clock.
Number one, luck:
With3:21 to play and the score 44-24, Rosen was chased out of the pocket
to the left and panicked, throwing a horrible ill-advised off balance
pass towards the end zone. There were two UCLA receivers there and three
Aggie defenders. The pass was basically up for grabs and could easily
have been intercepted. Instead Theo Howard saved Rosen’s day by darting
in front of two of the Aggie defenders to make a miracle TD catch. Just
before that with 8:12 to play, Rosen completely underthrew wide open
receiver Darren Andrews. The ball was right in the hands of an Aggie
defender, but it went through them and directly into Andrews’ hands for
a 42 yard touchdown.
Of course the
luckiest thing for UCLA was when Aggie quarterback Nick Starkel was
knocked out of the game in the third quarter with an injury and the
Aggies leading 38-10. If he stays in the game there’s little chance that
UCLA would have held the Aggies to 6 points in the 2nd half.
Then there was another instance of Aggie stupidity. On the winning
touchdown the clock was stopped. But Rosen faked a spike. There was no
reason for a spike. The clock was stopped; UCLA had huddled and had
called their play. Nobody would spike the ball in that situation. But
the Aggies fell for it and Rosen threw a fade to the corner of
the end zone to a receiver who was open due to the fake.
The final lucky thing
was that the Aggies did not request a review of the winning touchdown. I
played it back in slow motion several times and it seemed to me that
UCLA receiver Jordan Lasley was juggling the ball while one foot was in
the end zone but that foot came up and when he finally got possession
his other foot came down out of bounds. I think that had the Aggies
asked for replay there would have been at least a 50% chance that it
would have been ruled an incomplete pass. Of course UCLA still had more
downs and could have still scored the winning touchdown because there
were still 43 seconds left. Even so, UCLA was lucky that poor Aggie head
coach Kevin
Sumlin didn’t
ask for a review.
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