2014
NFL Playoffs Third Round
by Tony
Medley
This is
a homage to stupidity and I start with me. Before the playoffs started I
determined that the four best teams were New England, Denver, San
Francisco, and Seattle, not necessarily in that order. So I figured that
I really didn’t have too many games to pick since all the games
involving those four had already been picked. Somewhere along the way I
started rethinking, always a mistake, and picked against two of them
this weekend, resulting in two losses that I shouldn’t have had. So I
should be 6-2 instead of 4-4.
Now for
the real culprits. Who are the dumbest people in sports? Give up? The
people who play and coach the sports, that’s who. This couldn’t have
been clearer than in the San Diego-Denver game, a game San Diego should
have won. I said last week that Ken Whisenhunt was the best offensive
coordinator in the game. I want to withdraw that. Denver has one of the
worst pass defenses in the NFL (27th) and San Diego has one
of the best passers in the NFL in Philip Rivers. San Diego started the
game running, even though their only really good runner, Ryan Mathews,
was gimpy. They spent the entire first quarter running the ball to no
effect. It was clear from the outset that Denver’s defensive line was
dominating. Undaunted by this and the fact that Denver’s rush defense
was seventh in the league and that Denver was disdaining defending the
pass and only defending the run, Whisenhunt and Head Coach Mike McCoy
continued to run off tackle plays through the end of the third quarter,
(even though Mathews, San Diego’s only effective runner, never got in
the game after the half) resulting in Denver’s 17-0 lead, without
allowing quarterback Philip Rivers to throw even one pass more than 10
yards beyond the line of scrimmage. Rivers is San Diego’s best offensive
player but Whisenhunt and McCoy muzzled him for three quarters. The
woeful Denver pass defense had nothing to do with it. It was San Diego’s
play calling. In the fourth quarter they finally let him pass downfield.
Even though by then Denver had stopped defending the run and was
defending against the pass, Rivers went through them like a dose of
salts, scoring 17 points and coming close to winning the game. San
Diego’s game plan was beyond stupidity (dumber than me picking
Indianapolis and San Diego).
As to
the other games, the refs continued to stink the place out. Without
going into excruciating detail, the Colts-New England game was tarnished
by two pass interference calls, one phony one against the Colts on third
and long that gave NE a first down inside the five and eventually a
touchdown when they should have been forced to punt the ball away. The
second was a missed call on a real pass interference by New England that
would have given Indy a first down in a crucial situation when the game
was still on the line. These two calls (one call, one non-call) turned a
close game into a rout.
But
that doesn’t alleviate the fact that poor Andrew Luck was horrible. Oh,
he threw some amazingly accurate long passes, but he missed some
amazingly simple short passes, all of which resulted in interceptions. I
expected more, which is why I picked them to win. But because he was so
bad New England could win by running the ball over 40 times and without
Tom Brady throwing even one touchdown pass.
But
Luck didn’t give the worst performance in that game. That honor goes to
broadcaster Dan Dierdorf, who was making his last appearance in a long
career. I always thought he was an unusually perceptive commentator.
Unfortunately, he blew it in his last performance. In the second half,
New England was punting. The pass from the center went way over the
punter’s head. He recovered it on the one yard line and made what
appeared to be a futile attempt to pass, but it was ruled a fumble and
it went out of the end zone for a safety. Dierdorf excoriated the
punter, saying that he should have just fallen on the ball, not give up
the two points, and “given the defense a chance.” So Coach Dierdorf
would rather be defending a first and goal on the one yard line than
just give up the safety and kick it away. Actually, what the punter did
was the best thing that could have happened to New England. In that
situation it’s much better to give up a safety than take the chance that
a playoff team can’t score a touchdown from one yard out in four tries.
A touchdown there turns the game around. As it was, Indianapolis only
got two points and then Luck threw another interception after receiving
New England’s punt from the 20.
As
expected, San Francisco beat Carolina and Cam Newton proved what I
indicated in last week’s column, he’s not ready for prime time, and
seemed to give up in the second half.
Next
Sunday’s games (at least one) are too close to call, so I’m not going to
call them.
San
Francisco at Seattle:
I was
puzzled by Pete Carroll’s game plan against New Orleans. His
conservative offense made the game a lot closer than it should have
been. In fact, New Orleans almost scored two touchdowns in the last 1:04
to steal the game after being outplayed. But maybe Pete knew what he
was doing because his quarterback, Russell Wilson, was the worst of all
the quarterbacks who played last weekend, missing short passes that I
could have completed with my eyes closed. To give him credit, though, he
did make two big plays he needed to make to win the game. As long as
Marshawn Lynch doesn’t get injured, though, this game is a tossup
because San Francisco has all three of its prime receivers healthy and
ready to play including Crabtree who just never seems to miss a catch
that’s anywhere within reach. This will put a lot of pressure on
Seattle’s excellent pass defense. Colin Kaepernick, at 6-5, 240, is as
effective a runner as Wilson and a better passer. But San Francisco
coach Jim Harbaugh will continue to mute the 49ers’ great offensive
talent, so it should be a close game, and any call I make would be a
guess, and I’m not going to guess.
New
England at Denver:
Denver
wasn’t that impressive beating San Diego. But for San Diego’s woeful
game plan they wouldn’t have made it into the AFC title game. They won’t
get that chance against Bill Belichick, who will undoubtedly take
advantage of Denver’s weak pass defense and let Brady throw the ball.
Alas, the Patriots have no downfield threat, so Denver has an advantage
in that it really only need defend the short passing game and put
pressure on Brady. Don’t look for New England to run the ball 40 times
this week like San Diego did (and like New England did against
Indianapolis), regardless of the weather. Because both teams have woeful
pass defenses, this should be a high scoring game. If I had to put money
on it, I’d put it on Denver because they are healthier, are playing at
home, and since they play at this altitude all year, are much better
acclimated to it than New England.
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